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"Moore's law is a term that got applied to a curve I plotted in the mid-sixties showing the increase in complexity of integrated circuits versus time. It's been expanded to include a lot more than that, and I'm happy to take credit for all of it."-- Gordon Moore |
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1965
Writing for Electronics magazine in 1965, Gordon Moore made an awesome prediction. He noted that for the last three years, the number of components on an integrated chip had doubled yearly. At that point, a chip averaged about 50 elements. Moore announced that this trend would continue for another ten years, with chips doubling in complexity until they reached 65,000 components per chip. That number was mind-boggling at the time. Moore's prediction turned out to be true -- far more accurate than Moore had ever thought it would be. In fact, the complexity of a chip continued to double yearly for long after 1975. The rate of doubling has only recently slowed to about every 18 months.
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